Saturday, November 1, 2014

Indispensable Systems Versus Unsustainable Fantasies

In a long historical view it would not be surprising to find some patterns of activity in the ongoing progress of civilization that have in the past been, or are being, or are in the future to be suddenly curtailed.  Like any recent explosion just off the launch pad only, before it reaches that stage.

Particularly noticeable is the exorbitant expenditure of lavish sums "necessary" for the exploration of space - after the primary determination of sufficient facts to identify which of the world-views from Earth is most correct.  That is, do the Moon, Mars and other celestial bodies have any life or monsters or threats on them, and since ancient times, what are those places, those planets and objects in the sky?

How far is far, so far that it is unattainable even in principle until technology evolves a great deal?  The stars are that, certainly.  Mars is still a pipe dream; it may be coming down the Pike, yet rationally it is a long way off and must be viewed with far greater patience than is currently being presented by the imaginative set.

How does the solar system work - what are eclipses?  These ancient, most familiar
problems moved the deep premises of human societies, to migration, trade, war and marriages.  They are still active.  Just last month, a recent partial eclipse here was greeted with relief by many innocent persons - civil, sane, and rational citizens, that at last those scary things are well understood.

It would be valuable throughout the world's economies to assess the various degrees of sudden or not-so-sudden devolution of the anciently founded space effort.  Perhaps the crashes in recent "privately" funded space flights were not to be so unexpected as that.

Mining asteroids was a pipe dream from science fiction, designed to fund the
essential Moon flights and never actually to mine asteroids.  Science fiction itself
was ramped up from pre-1900's to the intensity of a fury with the realm of that fantasy from Buck Rogers to Star Trek--solely to get more money for space flight, even extravagant speculative gambles like asteroid mining.  Star Wars was the
first science fiction that was pure fantasy, never designed to be an actual destiny for Earth.  Asteroid miners are not merely whipping boys for convenience - they should be, as vital economic factors are scarce and cannot be laid out for speculative airless gambles up an almost-impossible-to believe gravitational gradient up from Earth and up from the Sun.

Certain space activity are already vital--such as weather, communications, agricultural, mineral, shipping and GPS systems.  They are already essential, and indispensable; they will be happily funded forever if the economy is
designed properly.

Others, such as the incredibly stupid asteroid mining projects (no asteroid is going to yield anything precious worth more than the flight systems, space suits and equipment costs necessary to even survey the rocks) will be understood as boondoggles thought necessary to fund essential systems. 

If these events of sudden economic collapse of fantastic factors are true, they may be expected to continue until earthbound civilization makes sense to enough minds to curtail the lavish nonsense.  Deliberate collapse of an inflated space-extravagant economic sector should be undertaken.  After that it will be time to assess just what realities exist in space flight, and what is unsustainable fantasy.


Finally, if it is desired to do things right, the threefold nature of right must be taken into account.  Decisions must be right in all of galactic, ecliptic and geographical rotation.  Galactic is very slow and is not usually apparent unless the four year Leap Year cycle is spanned.  With all three correct, decisions will be far more correct. 

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Thermodynamics and the Moon's New Footprints

The goal of reaching the Moon began in the primordial seas of our planet, where the ocean's organisms were drawn to and fro each day by the Moon and Sun.  Tides carried swimming creatures on their first attempts to reach the Moon - a sense that became obvious whenever a swimming animal, anticipating the venture would be short, was interrupted by the ebb, or by a hungry predator.

Anticipation of the Moon's draw was embedded in every living animal that was hatched or born since then.  That's over 400 million years of prehistoric Moon struggle.  It's in our cells, blood, and instincts to know the Moon deeply, and go toward there, that place, whatever it was or is, where it always is in the skies of Earth. Ye Gods, the prehistoric Moon had gravity.

One physical fact, that somehow never became articulated in words or symbols until Mankind understood the phenomenon, was that the center of gravity of the Earth-Moon system lies within the biosphere of Earth.  It is to be capitalized on, as, flush with success, we now-dominant human mammals of Earth retire the instincts of the cold -blooded reptilian instincts that in ancient times founded the predecessors of carnage and plunder which underlie war.

So far, those who actually flew to the Moon were few.  They plaque placed there states "We Came in Peace for All Mankind", and gave the Moon's secrets to all human beings.  Many persons are examining Moon rocks now.  Costly alien mineral samples, the treasured specimens were distributed to many nations of the world as gifts from faraway lands.  It will be appropriate to think on these things with great care, judicious probity, patient conscience, transcendent vigilance and courage-the Moon rocks, so much the same as the familiar rocks of Earth-for many generations.

In many professions, worrying about warm-blooded and cold-blooded creatures is considered frivolous. Nonetheless it is a deeply important distinction.  It is certain to  have serious consequences for good or ill in time because it involves instincts that differ in by hundreds of millions of years.  The distinctions readily made in the flush of the first space flights will be new thousands of years hence.  They re-emerge each generations.  The implications of space flight are deeply and substantially transcendent - spanning thousands of years, with great depth.  Those artifacts from Earth on the Moon are utterly different than the Moon ever was.  They actually exist there.   For a billion years, the Moon had no high order artifacts or anything else on it made by living beings.  Now, it does.  Never in the future will the Moon ever be that, again.  It is hoped the changes taking place now in humankind are deeper than the idea of putting a mere obelisk on it.  To be sure, that would be something.  But the changes in Earth's life are more important and far more urgent.

With an internet connection, television and radio it is easy to be overconfident.  Outside of civilization it is not easy to be sure what the question actually is.  In the middle of a forest or an ocean, what is any question?

No more should Albert Alligator and Krokodil be in the inner sanctums of the human governments, or its courts, business establishments and educational institutions.  There is no time at the present to make decisions about Earth's destiny or even its immediate future, from the viewpoint of cold-blooded fishes and reptiles, the snakes, alligators, crocodiles and gila monsters.  They do not belong in the human court.

Even so, to say it brings hisses to the ears.  Protests against poikilotherm organism are likely to run into the political equivalent of jealousy at first, until human beings - warm-blooded all - begin to understand everywhere that human opinions are valued just because they do keep their bodies at stable, warm temperatures.  Being warm at all times, living human beings cultivate and value transcendent conscience as a characteristic mode of their collective species.  

Cold-blooded creatures cannot do that; they cannot evaluate their collective conscience.  It is wrong to value their judgement, for in human terms they have none.  Reptiles do not provide any kind of cute or shrewd opportunistic faculty that can do anything one wants for free.  Their errors are too monstrous.  It is time to strengthen the sanctions against cold-blooded behavior in business, law, industry, education, war and entertainment.  The consequences of failure to do so could well be increased danger of the misuse of nuclear energy for other than peaceful purposes.

Human beings, monkeys, dogs, cats, birds, mice, foxes, squirrels and other mammals are called homoiothermous.  We need them when making judgement calls in winter.  Should the horses, sheep, and cows be brought into barns in a cold spell?  Shouldn't the dogs be indoors in this cold weather.  Human beings are sometimes given considerable latitude in financing weatherproof farmhouses in places with cold winters.

Snakes, lizards, crocodiles, alligators and such creatures are called pokilothermous.
A poikilotherm is an organism whose internal temperature varies with the temperature around them. A poikilothermous organism is an ambient-blooded creature.  It cools in night time temperatures or in cold seasons or weather.  Some of them survive freezing in subzero temperatures; among these, several survive in ice water so cold that in normal water or unprotected blood they would die from ice crystals within themselves.   Those creatures cannot be trusted with human destiny. 

Blessedly good fortune, it is, that no  human being alive is actually a cold-blooded reptile. However, human beings during conditions of great stress summon every instinct possible.  Especially if they are caught in flooding waters, or if they are in danger from fire, they must use every instinct, and under those conditions people are justified in being cold-blooded.  They may have to swim like fishes to avoid drowning, flee every perception of warmth to escape flames, or avoid freezing in winter storms or ice water.  The decisions about just how people can best appropriate the resources which the cold-blooded animals represent, so valuable in unpredictable extremes, must be made by professionals in medicine, the sciences, education and government.  In that sense it is important to give our leaders encouragement to undertake to make those decisions carefully.  This invokes active legislation, informed consent, justice and other powers of formal government in making these decisions well.  The results must be consistent among human beings regardless of where they find themselves, or who they are with. It is time to come to a sense of equal rights in thermodynamics - a field of natural phenomena that were previously thought to be intrinsically independent of right.

Living thermodynamics must never be independent or ignorant of right, not in matters of judgement.  Not with nuclear weapons around.

Monday, July 7, 2014

IT'S A GLOBAL LONG RUN

Certain current emerging details of aggression NOW, in the Middle East, are in ways exactly the same as the events in Sarajevo which triggered the thirty year period that spans both World Wars I  and II. 

Today's events (during a period of a year to three or four) and specifically including the events emerging from the killing of three children and the response by Israel in Gaza) rank with the assassination of the Duke of Austria in 1913. 

They threaten to suddenly engulf the world as the domino-like array of contradictions between pairs of nations collapse from the Middle East westward around the globe to the Longitudes of China and Australia, thence westward all the way.

Meanwhile England, and the United Kingdom, are set up from the British Isles to Australia, to enter into a conflict to any extent opposition to its global pre-eminence and predominance may appear, including the rapid unification of Islam under ISIS.

These setups appear under the planets.  The less informed attempt to use astrology to divine or predict the future, and frequently fall prey to charlatans.  In contrast,  the powerful and informed--whether states, nations or persons - use astrology and its mathematical and scientific origins in astronomy-to dictate certain - and only certain-aspects of the future.  Those certainties must be heeded, taken into account.  One of their implications is that the Middle Eastern conflicts in religion are certain to find a peaceful resolution - but whether that is now, or only after centuries of future conflict - is not yet determined.

Astrology is not best used to predict the the future, as if it is a source of prophesy or divination.  Astrology is used as a source of highly predictable signal events in order to ensure certain factors which are absolutely under control, and to impose, in coordinated moves, that as far as possible all comply. 

Since ancient times the longest observable period of planetary motion was the thirty years of Saturn's orbit around the heavens and its contents - the Sun and Earth.  Planets farther away were surmised in ancient Rome, by Marcus Aurelius and others, and it was expected they would be fainter than bright Mars, Jupiter and Saturn - possibly so faint they could not be seen with human eyes. 

Since ancient times, astronomers around the world have recorded events in many languages.  Many patterns are recorded in multiple languages. Some of those most useful to this author occurred in the English jurisdiction, which resulted from colonization by the ancient Romans.

Attempts to sense the gravity of such invisible planets persisted for a thousand years before any period of time seemed to be suggested by their weight.  After 1100 A.D>, a distinct jurisdiction of courts was established and named the Courts of Star Chamber.  They were under Royal sanctions, and located in secluded but civilized country areas well governed by different Castles, Palaces and Houses.

The Courts gradually accumulated consensus on the gravity of the recurring events that were suggested by the possibility of planets invisibly far beyond Saturn.  In time, an eventual conclusion was reached - it was close enough to wage a war on that some planet existed which spanned much more than Saturn's thirty year period. 

On the wager, the War of the Roses began; it was to conclude thirty years later and the winner was to be one or the other of the two contestants.  The House of Lancaster and the House of York were to slug it out through an entire period of Saturn's orbit.  If the period concluded with no fatalities it would be evidence that nothing of any importance remained beyond Saturn.

Unfortunately several fatalities did occur, in a markedly distinct event involving untimely deaths and starvation - grave evidence that somebody had died of causes not in evidence, trying to win under the unknown planet or planets. 

As evidence those were faithless times, another thirty year period of war ensued.   Or, rather, was inserted into the populations on the European mainland.   The Churches of Europe were the recipients of the blessing, and promptly began a war to determine which Church was dominant in Europe.  It is tempting to assume  England would arrange the war to ensure the winners would include England. 

The English knew it would be better if the outcome were relatively neutral in affecting England's destiny, so the Thirty Years' War remained in Continental Europe while England discreetly refrained from meddling in Europe's religion. 

In this context, four thirty year periods of war occurred:






    The War of the Roses, 1455-1485.
    Thirty Years War, 1618-1648.
    American Revolutionary War, 1776-1805
    World Wars I and II- single event from 1914 to 1945

The question of what is worth fighting for in periods of time longer than Saturn's would always be obscured by that concern with eternity which religion provides in abundance.  Saturn was probably not mentioned much if at all, to the Europeans or their ministries.  The question could simply have been posed as a "which of you will be dominant in, say, 1800?

Questions that must be asked (say now in 2015) of the contenders in the Middle East include

              How will you rank yourselves in 2025 (one Jupiter orbit)?
              How will you do that in the year 2045?  (one Saturn orbit)
              How, then, in  2100? (one Uranus orbit)
              How in, in 2180 (one Neptune orbit)

Because, remember, astronomy easily predicts these events, plus others as well, including many more such anniversaries to come such as, say, ten orbits of Neptune from now in the year 3665?    Descendants of every region on Earth will exist then, and the legacies of every enduring faith and nation, will look upon what we do now, today, in the generation following the attainment of the anciently-sought Moon, forever in the future of this the only planet we have.

Perhaps the technique of keeping a contest within borders until the matters are resolved as to the depth of their gravity, would be useful among several of the Middle Eastern contenders.

Michael Lewis
Seattle










THE SAME THING IS HAPPENING NOW WITH THESE OUTER PLANETS OF URANUS AND NEPTUNE


It was the 1600's when telescopes were invented and


Monday, January 20, 2014

Economic Slowdown on an Evolving Planet

There are as usual several components of economic trends.  One of these is the historical trend, which reflects very much the relative development of technology.  However, most of the motivation for technological development began long ago - not mere hundreds or thousands, but millions of years ago. 

In fact, the evolution toward the Moon probably began with the earliest forms of instinct that responded to the ocean's tides, both Lunar and Solar.   Of course as long as life was in the seas alone, it almost certainly never had any dreams or instincts of traveling to the Moon and Sun.  That would come only after land animals, and then birds and mammals arose.  They fueled what eventually became mankind, the human species, and the human species went through various stages of development until well known discoveries of fire, stone tools, spears, bows and arrows, ornamentation and other artificial form which provide the first  evidence of a distinctly human intelligence.  Eventually, the construction of mud, then clay and sandstone architectural constructions made urban civilization possible.  In its protection, invention and discovery were rapid, and the old attractions of the Moon and Sun were of course among the instincts of the world.  There began contests, organized work, forced labor, conflict and war, all fueled by various differences of opinion having much or little to do with flying to the Moon. 

To make this long story short, mankind invented technologies much larger for fighting over how to get to the Moon (and Sun, Planets, etc) than the actual implements which were eventually used for the successful  flights that took place so recently, and which are ongoing even now with instrumented probes, robotic surveying craft, and manned orbital flights.  Undoubtedly, more will continue in the future-probably at an increasingly moderated rate.

What has changed so much, is the same thing that is causing the economic slowdown-the very success already attained in flight to the Moon, to Mars and the other planets, answered many questions so ancient their origins were lost in time billions of years ago.  All the long-term urgency to reach the Moon and fly to the Sun and planets and stars has evaporated.   Project Apollo no longer exists.  Neither does the scheming that gave rise to suspiciously sinister planned conflicts under the planets.  Very few space projects are now  named after mythical beings, creatures, gods or events.  Instead, space vehicles and instruments are named after their particular, specific purpose and design goals, such as the Galex Galaxy Explorer, the Hubble Space Telescope, Nimbus, the Asteroid Redirect Initiative, Chandra X-Ray Observatory, CloudSat, the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory, and many others.  These are often also named after particular, very real, living or recently living researchers in space and astronomy.

Economy, once led by the pandemonium of secular, atheistic, predatory, often carnivorous competition for survival faintly tainted by vague dreams and instinctive curiosity to reach the Moon, has largely ceased its wars and is now being guided by the hard facts of willing and voluntary production (with profit motive perfectly legal) yet inspired and goaded by no religious, spiritual, imaginary or instinctive impetus.

That's why the economic slowdown is big, deep, and, to modernists accustomed to inflated luxurious glamor products, drag and ugly and alarming.  Even where formerly communist societies, at one time guessing the truth that space flight would come to pass yet would be of little direct economic value, and having taken up space flight for the time being, are being notoriously slow and casual about space flight development as a driving factor for sheer economic productivity.

That's why natural food stores, organic gardening, and other patterns of productivity that take Earth's vital, long-term importance into account, are being quietly successful.  That's why some large corporations which have drastically trimmed their sails have become successful in new and more organic, whole ways.  It is time to stop worrying and time to cultivate the quality of long-term habitation on the only planet we are likely to live on for millions of years.  There are no economical solutions to the problem of finding other habitable planets.  The only sane economic activity is adapting economically to living on the only one habitable planet attainable, possibly forever.

Fortunately many new facts are in favor of the domestic future of Planet Earth.  The proper rotation of the Milky Way Galaxy was determined with careful measurements spanning thirty years by NASA, and for that or possibly other reasons, the Sun is now a quieter star, more stable for Earth's future.  Many new artificial satellites are circling the Earth with orbits designed to last millions of years and more.  Weather forecasts now extend out decades in the future.  Most design now intentionally plans on very long working lifetimes for most products.  These and other deliberate, long-term factors create a narrowing and lengthening of the period of time in which one or another sort of prophesy is more or less successful.  In other words, earth sees its future in longer terms now-a new quality of prediction that usually leaves old-timers like this writer baffled at where so much future came from-especially if we've only got one planet to live on. 

Just now, what more could one want?







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